Thunder are worse than the Wizards in this major stat recently

  • Alex Walsh
  • January 7, 2026
For a team with legitimate championship aspirations, any comparison to the Washington Wizards is usually a red flag. Yet in one key category lately, the Oklahoma City Thunder have slipped below even one of the league’s most rebuilding-focused franchises.

The stat in question centers on defensive performance, particularly the recent slide in defensive rating and the quality of looks they’re allowing. While the Wizards have been near the bottom of the standings all season, their defense has stabilized to something closer to “competent” in a small recent sample. Oklahoma City, meanwhile, has seen its once-stout resistance soften, giving up easier drives, second-chance opportunities, and cleaner perimeter looks than a contender can afford.

Context matters. The Thunder are young, heavily reliant on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s two-way brilliance and Chet Holmgren’s rim protection. Over the grind of the season, legs get heavy, scouting tightens, and opponents test whether this group can sustain elite habits every night. The recent downturn hints at a team that’s still learning how to manage expectations and game-plan attention.

For Washington, incremental defensive improvement is more about culture-building than wins. Any stretch where they defend at a middle-of-the-pack level is a positive sign for a roster full of developing players and short-term veterans. For Oklahoma City, however, slipping behind the Wizards in any meaningful defensive metric is a warning that their margin for error is thinner than their record suggests.

League-wide, this is the kind of trend other contenders monitor closely. Playoff series are decided by which defense can string together stops when offenses know each other’s plays by heart. If the Thunder’s recent dip reflects fatigue or focus rather than talent, it’s fixable through rotation tweaks, practice emphasis, and better communication. If it lingers, it exposes a vulnerability that more seasoned playoff teams will target relentlessly.

The Thunder are still firmly in the upper tier of the West. But being worse than the Wizards in a major defensive measure, even briefly, is a timely reminder: title talk only matters if the numbers under the hood back it up.