Heat vs Celtics

Thu, Jan 15
Final
Heat Heat
(21 - 19)
114 - 119
Celtics Celtics
(24 - 15)
Team 1 2 3 4 T
Heat 36 28 29 21 114
Celtics 25 29 29 36 119

Venue: Kaseya Center

GAME LEADERS
PTS
REB
AST

Bam Adebayo
Bam Adebayo
MIA | #13 | C/F
22
4
5

Anfernee Simons
Anfernee Simons
BOS | #4 | G
39
4
4
Smart Game Analysis
Boston Celtics has a 54% chance of winning the game

Despite missing Jayson Tatum and dropping two straight games, the Celtics' elite defense and superior three-point shooting give them a slight edge over a Heat team struggling to stop opponents.

Key Analysis
  • Boston remains without Jayson Tatum (Achilles), placing the entire scoring burden on Jaylen Brown and Derrick White.
  • Miami is missing Terry Rozier and likely Davion Mitchell, thinning their backcourt depth against Boston's perimeter attack.
  • The Celtics boast the NBA's 2nd-ranked defense (110.1 PPG allowed), vastly outperforming Miami's 22nd-ranked unit (117.8 PPG allowed).
  • Boston averages 15.7 three-pointers per game (2nd in NBA), creating a significant math advantage over a Heat team ranked 19th in made threes.
  • Miami holds the rebounding edge (7th in NBA) behind Bam Adebayo and must dominate the glass to control the game's pace.
  • Momentum favors the Heat, who are coming off a win against Phoenix, while the Celtics have lost back-to-back games to Indiana and San Antonio.

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