Nuggets vs Thunder

Sun, Feb 1
Final
Nuggets Nuggets
(33 - 16)
111 - 121
Thunder Thunder
(38 - 11)
Team 1 2 3 4 T
Nuggets 26 29 30 26 111
Thunder 32 30 39 20 121

Venue: Ball Arena

GAME LEADERS
PTS
REB
AST

Peyton Watson
Peyton Watson
DEN | #8 | G
29
5
3

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
OKC | #2 | G
34
5
13
Smart Game Analysis
Oklahoma City Thunder has a 56% chance of winning the game

Despite Denver's strong home history, the Thunder are favored to win as their top-ranked defense and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's matchup advantage outweigh the Nuggets' injury-depleted roster.

Key Analysis
  • Oklahoma City is missing Jalen Williams and Alex Caruso, which removes their second scoring option and best perimeter defender.
  • The Nuggets are without Aaron Gordon and likely Christian Braun, leaving them with no elite defenders to guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will likely dominate the matchup against a depleted Denver backcourt that lacks the size and speed to contain him.
  • The Thunder possess the league's best Defensive Rating at 107.2 and the top Net Rating at +12.2.
  • Denver has won two straight games and seven of the last ten meetings at home, demonstrating significant resilience at Ball Arena.
  • The Nuggets must rely on Nikola Jokic controlling the paint and tempo to overcome the significant talent deficit on the wings.

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